Wednesday, October 24, 2012
THE MAYBE BUMP
Kos thinks that there is already the makings of a third debate bump which, actually, started with the second bump. A two and three bump.
Hints of a Post Third Debate Obama Bump
It is fun to read if, like me, you are what Sam Wang calls "a poll sniffer".
Incidentally, Sam Wang at Princeton, who writes beautifully about the polls, still has Obama at 292 electoral votes and Sam Wang was the only prognosticator that had the 2008 results exactly. Not to dis Nate Silver at the NYT who still shows similar Obama results. I am getting Nate's new book.
I read all the polls every day, often twice a day. The outlier Gallup which has had Romney up as high as 7 points has begun to swing toward Obama and their job approval rating has gone to the highest 53% in a long time.
Of course, if this is true and it seems to be, then there is little time for this bump to subside, if it would, before the vote. Right now, people are voting.
Labels: polls, Re-election of Barack Obama
