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Monday, September 05, 2016

Not whether 

But how much?

It would seem that Hillary Clinton's lead in the polls is insurmountable.

Hillary Clinton Looks Strong Heading Into Fall

But we have been fooled before.

I read all the stuff on the internet that I can stand and not all of it is on the left. I read a few conservative sites as well.

History says that a lead this large at this point is pretty much insurmountable. Or has been in many election cycles.

I try not to be overconfident however.

There is the usual September and October surprises to get past. But these have more to do with incumbents than they do with aspiring candidates.

The Republicans have evidently decided that the money should go to the down ticket race rather than to The Donald.

They too see some handwriting or handwringing on the wall.

This means that Clinton can devote her time to the down ticket as well. Currently it seems possible that she could bring a majority in the Senate along with her. Less so the House but a few outlying pundits see that possibility. I understand this to be a dream more than a reality. The arithmetic doesn't add up in the House.

But it is still exciting and I am excited and as we go into the last weeks it will be a race to remember.

Partly because it would be nice to see Trump fall on his ass.

The Democrats taking Congress would be a big fringe benefit.

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