esrosedotblog

RUGGED

I figure that the election process is just going to be a long hard climb. I particularly dread the next couple of weeks since momentum is all and I suspect we are going to lose some more.

The swiftboat thing has 'nicked' Kerry, no doubt. He has held and not fallen but he is bleeding a little. I do not want to Monday morning it; my guess is that this is how smears go. And you either get through them or you do not. Kerry has gotten through it.

But now, there will be the bush bounce, if any, from the convention and all the moderate posing will have its effect on the stragglers. How anyone could be a sucker for a second time I do not know; but I have some acquaintances (one would be hard pressed, in these partisan times, to think of them as friends) who will baa and bleat their way right up the chute and vote for the rustlers again. Another term, another ride, only a lot worse than the first.

On the other hand there will be some problems for the goopers too. It is not good for them to have the bad economic news of this week. They are running around a lot trying to hide the shit they have not cleaned up. Distractions will only delay the inevitable. They have shot their best wad on the vetsmear. But there will be new attacks to deflect and an October 'surprise'; all that.

But, I gotta think that on or about 9/15 there will be some Demo-recovery and by the 9/30 debates there will be a strong thrust ahead. I am an optimist who is always ready to be wrong. That is part of being an optimist; to have a failure in one's predictions. I will shake my head and move on. This time, it might be the underground!